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  Newsletter - Issue 1

 

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Newsletter written by:
Charlie Aitken
SMM(B) Ltd.

 

 

 
SMM(B) Ltd. INVESTMENTmatters Investmentimer.com - Home Page
Nasdaq falls to 2300 - Investors start to Panic!           Oct. 2000 - Issue 1

This is the headline that you could be reading within weeks.

Earlier this year we sent the following chart to our clients entitled 'Different Markets - Same Shape' comparing the Nasdaq bubble to Japan's Nikkei 225 bubble of the late 1980's:-

 

Chart - Nikkei Dow

Chart - NASDAQ
Nikkei Dow NASDAQ

  
You will note an uncanny resemblance between the two, with Nasdaq following the pattern of the Nikkei.

We are of the view that the Denial Phase, when most market participants deny that anything fundamental has changed, has ended. Having fallen by 35% during the Denial Phase, Nasdaq experienced a retracement rally (as did the Nikkei) up to the 4200 level, since when it has fallen once more.

Markets do not travel in straight lines, either up or down but certain patterns and cycles can be identified. Investors should consider that the Fear Phase, which appears to have commenced, is likely to take Nasdaq down to the 2300 level, some 55% fall from the March 2000 high and possibly lower thereafter.

The more widely followed indices, such as the Down and FTSE 100 are unlikely to ignore Nasdaq's falls for much longer so wider implications are likely.


2003 Investmentmatters is published by SMM(B) Ltd.

Whilst SMM(B) Ltd.  believes that the information provided is correct it does not represent that the information presented is comprehensive, complete, verified or accurate. 

This publication does not constitute or form part of any offer or invitation to purchase or subscribe to any services provided by SMM(B) Ltd. or its trading division, Investmentimer.com, excepting in directing you to websites (www.summitmoneymanagement.bm  and www.investmentimer.com) for your perusal.

The value and income from an investment may fall as well as rise and as such should be considered as medium to longer term in nature.

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