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Charlie Aitken
SMM(B) Ltd.

 

 

 

 

Index: $US Gold Price

Short Term Trend

Last indicator = BUY @ $254 on 3/9/1999.

Trend still - UP Since signal date by 20%.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Guides:              Black      =    Index showing BUY/SELL Arrows

                         Red         =   100 Day Moving Average

                         Blue        =   200 Day Moving Average

                         Magenta  =  Trend Channel


Observations

1. The buy indicator of 3/9/1999 is still in place.

2. In the short term the price has moved too far, too quickly.

3. A consolidation to retest the downtrend channel should be expected
.


Long Term Trend
  

 

Observations

1. The index bounced off the downtrend channel line at $254, trying to hold the horizontal support at $278.

2. The longer term moving average has been penetrated on the upside, a promising move after the difficult period since 1996
.


Conclusion

1. The Buy signal of 3/9/1999 is still in place, although we observe that the index price is overbought in the short term.

2. For existing and/or new investors it may prove opportune to await a pull back to the $280 - $300 range before accumulating
.

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